S&P 500 (SPX)

Where each commentator stands

• Gareth Soloway: Gareth is bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term and short term (Nov–Dec 2026), and bearish over the medium term (Nov 2026–Dec 2027) and long term. (updated 2026-11-11) Source: Insider Trading? Oil Late Day Friday Sell Saved S&P As Potential Deal With Iran Takes Shape. Price at prediction: 7,710 points. -1.2% since initial near-term prediction.
• Ryan Detrick: Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026) and over the medium term (Oct 2026–Jan 2028). (updated 2026-11-11) Source: As of Friday, the S&P 500 was up about 8% for the year, which is close to an average year. But remember, only four time…. Price at prediction: 7,646 points. -0.3% since initial short-term prediction.
• Ryan Detrick: Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-21) Source: One of the big stories from October (so far) is how breadth has gotten significantly better. S&P 500 A/D line has been…. Price at prediction: 7,684 points. -0.8% since initial prediction.
• Darius Dale: Darius is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Q3–Q4 2026), bullish over the medium term (Nov 2026–Dec 2027), and bearish over the long term. (updated 2026-11-11) Source: The Macro Minute: Does AI have a circular financing problem?. Price at prediction: 7,538 points. -1.1% since initial short-term prediction.
• Darius Dale: Darius is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-09) Source: The Macro Minute: Would Hegseth's Potential Impeachment Help End the War?. Price at prediction: 7,550 points. +0.9% since this prediction.
• Jim Thorne: Jim is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026), medium term (2027), and over the long term. (updated 2026-11-11) Source: My thesis S&P 500 gets to 8000 by year end. Yes my 10,000 2027 target still holds https://youtu.be/epT1uGLrhU0. Price at prediction: 7,646 points. -0.3% since initial short-term prediction.
• Jim Thorne: Jim is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-14) Source: This is not 1987 An S&P 500 at 10,000 sounds extreme. The assumptions are less dramatic: rising earnings, falling bond…. Price at prediction: 7,799 points. -2.3% since initial prediction.
• Benjamin Cowen: Benjamin is neutral on the S&P 500 in the near term (Oct–Nov 2026), and bullish in the short term (Nov 2026–Apr 2027) and over the medium term (Nov 2026–Dec 2027). (updated 2026-11-11) Source: NFA Live! Bitcoin Losing Momentum? Fed Fallout & Midterm Market Risks. Price at prediction: 7,718 points. -1.3% since this near-term prediction.
• Michael Pento: Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (2027) and long term. (updated 2026-11-10) Source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?. Price at prediction: 7,698 points. +1.0% since initial medium-term prediction.
• Michael Pento: Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-10) Source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?. Price at prediction: 7,663 points. -0.6% since initial prediction.
• Lance Roberts: Lance is mildly bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term (Nov 2026) and bullish in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (updated 2026-11-09) Source: 11-9-26 Blue Wave, Red Market: How to Get to Green?. Price at prediction: 7,375 points. +3.3% since this near-term prediction.
• Thomas Hayes: Thomas is mildly bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Oct 2026–Apr 2027) and bullish over the long term. (updated 2026-11-08) Source: Great Rotation Happening Now: This Sector ‘Is Over’ | Thomas Hayes. Price at prediction: 7,806 points. -2.4% since this short-term prediction.
• Thomas Hayes: Thomas is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-17) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 361 - September 17, 2026. Price at prediction: 7,553 points. +0.9% since this prediction.
• Cathie Wood: Cathie is bullish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (updated 2026-11-07) Source: Cathie Wood: Did The Market Overreact To The Election? | In The Know. Price at prediction: 7,375 points. +3.3% since this prediction.
• Mike McGlone: Mike is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-06) Source: The call from 1Q25 with Bitcoin above $100,000 was for it to lose a zero, on the back of a 20% drawdown in the S&P 500…. Price at prediction: 7,659 points. +0.5% since initial prediction.
• Mike McGlone: Mike is bearish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (updated 2026-10-08) Source: 'Very Similar To 1987': Here's What Bonds Break Next | Mike McGlone. Price at prediction: 7,766 points. +1.9% since this prediction.
• Tom Lee: Tom is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-06) Source: TOM LEE: AI downturn is hurting Technology. We believe a 'blue tsunami' is helpful to Tech/AI stocks. Price at prediction: 7,766 points. -1.9% since initial prediction.
• Tom Lee: Tom is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Aug–Dec 2026) and over the long term. (updated 2026-10-19) Source: The markets could rally 'very strongly' if the Fed holds rates in September: Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Price at prediction: 7,710 points. -1.2% since this short-term prediction.
• Ed Yardeni: Ed is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026), medium term (through Jun 2027), and over the long term. (updated 2026-11-06) Source: Ed Yardeni on his 7,900 S&P 500 year-end target: 'Santa is coming'. Price at prediction: 7,756 points. -1.8% since initial short-term prediction.
• Ed Yardeni: Ed is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-06) Source: Some AI Lessons In A Booming Economy. Price at prediction: 7,357 points. +3.6% since this prediction.
• Katie Stockton: Katie is bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term (Nov 2026). (updated 2026-11-06) Source: Fairlead's Katie Stockton on market selloff: Don't sell weakness, sell the strength. Price at prediction: 7,733 points. -1.5% since initial prediction.
• Peter Grandich: Peter is bearish on the S&P 500 in the near term and over the long term. (updated 2026-11-06) Source: Peter Grandich Says There's No Bailout Left This Time. Price at prediction: 7,742 points. +1.6% since initial near-term prediction.
• Peter Grandich: Peter is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-05) Source: Pete Speaks 11/5/26 11:00AM ET. Price at prediction: 7,429 points. -2.6% since initial prediction.
• Peter Schiff: Peter is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-05) Source: If traders understood what’s happening, gold would have soared today. The U.S. economy is headed for a recession. Stock…. Price at prediction: 7,400 points. -3.0% since initial prediction.
• Harry Dent: Harry is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-05) Source: Market Cycles and the Future of Investing with @hsdentfinancial. Price at prediction: 7,634 points. +0.2% since initial prediction.
• Harry Dent: Harry is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Aug–Dec 2026) and over the long term. (updated 2026-10-20) Source: Harry Dent on the Everything Bubble — And the Only Safe Haven Left. Price at prediction: 7,707 points. +1.1% since this short-term prediction.
• Ted Oakley: Ted is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (Jan–Sep 2027) and long term. (updated 2026-11-05) Source: Ted Oakley: This Cycle Is Ending, I’m 50% in Cash and Treasuries. Price at prediction: 7,137 points. -6.8% since initial medium-term prediction.
• Jim Welsh: Jim is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-05) Source: Jim Welsh Says When Good News Makes a Stock Fall, That's the Signal. Price at prediction: 7,727 points. +1.4% since initial prediction.
• Jason Pizzino: Jason is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026), medium term (Oct 2026–Dec 2027), and over the long term. (updated 2026-11-05) Source: Shock Reversal Reveals They're Running Out Of Money (this must happen next). Price at prediction: 7,736 points. -1.5% since initial short-term prediction.
• James Mullarney: James is bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term (Nov 2026) and short term (Nov 2026). (updated 2026-11-04) Source: AI SPLIT: Hyperscalers Rip, AI Infra gets Smoked | Midterms, Macro + Scorecard. Price at prediction: 7,553 points. +0.9% since initial near-term prediction.
• Clem Chambers: Clem is bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term, short term (Sep–Dec 2026), and over the medium term (Sep 2026–May 2027). (updated 2026-11-04) Source: midterms pivotal moment. Price at prediction: 7,764 points. -1.9% since initial near-term prediction.
• Clem Chambers: Clem is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-08-13) Source: Massive Money Printing Alert: Next Asset To 'Vertical Moonshot' | Clem Chambers. Price at prediction: 7,794 points. -2.2% since this prediction.
• Chris Vermeulen: Chris is bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term and short term. (updated 2026-11-02) Source: Where stocks, yields, bonds, dollar, and gold are headed next week. Price at prediction: 7,710 points. -1.2% since initial near-term prediction.
• Mark Newton: Mark is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-29) Source: A 2028 reckoning, data centers as a luxury belief, and the liberal arts comeback | Market Hang. Price at prediction: 7,672 points. -0.7% since initial prediction.
• Mark Newton: Mark is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Aug–Dec 2026) and over the medium term. (updated 2026-08-25) Source: Fall Market Swoon, Followed By An End-Of-Year Boom? | Mark Newton @Fundstrat_Direct. Price at prediction: 7,672 points. -0.7% since initial short-term prediction.
• Mike Wilson: Mike is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026) and over the medium term (through 2027). (updated 2026-10-27) Source: We're in the 'final innings' of the market correction, says Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson. Price at prediction: 7,600 points. +0.3% since initial short-term prediction.
• Mike Wilson: Mike is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-09) Source: Morgan Stanleys Mike Wilson Says Were Still in a Bull Market. Price at prediction: 7,674 points. -0.7% since this prediction.
• David Nicoski: David is neutral on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-23) Source: Bubble Popping Now: ‘Unhinged’ Market Warning | David Nicoski. Price at prediction: 7,623 points. -0.0% since this prediction.
• David Rosenberg: David is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-23) Source: David Rosenberg: Bubbles, Bonds, and Boomers. Price at prediction: 7,630 points. +0.1% since this prediction.
• David Rosenberg: David is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (2027). (updated 2026-10-16) Source: David Rosenberg: The AI "Mania" Is More Extreme Than 1999. Price at prediction: 7,744 points. +1.6% since this prediction.
• Melody Wright: Melody is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-23) Source: Melody Wright: I'm Out of Stocks — Only Holding Gold, Silver & Cash. Price at prediction: 7,655 points. +0.5% since this prediction.
• Chris Irons: Chris is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (Oct 2026–Jul 2027). (updated 2026-10-22) Source: Chris Irons | Circular AI Spending & What Could Prick The AI Capex Bubble. Price at prediction: 7,758 points. +1.8% since initial prediction.
• Chris Irons: Chris is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-07-23) Source: Chris Irons: Something Will Break, Sharp Deleveraging, The Fed Folds, & Gold Could Hit $7,500. Price at prediction: 7,423 points. -2.6% since this prediction.
• Brett Rentmeester: Brett is bearish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (updated 2026-10-22) Source: Brett Rentmeester: The US Will Return to Gold, Imminent Debt-Spiral & The Fourth Turning. Price at prediction: 7,757 points. +1.8% since this prediction.
• Lyn Alden: Lyn is bullish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (updated 2026-10-19) Source: The Treasury’s Gold Revaluation Play | Lyn Alden. Price at prediction: 7,659 points. -0.5% since this prediction.
• David Hunter: David is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-10) Source: Here’s my latest interview recorded 10/8/26 with Stijn Schmitz @PalisadesRadio.We discussed my very bullish outlook on…. Price at prediction: 7,514 points. +1.4% since initial prediction.
• David Hunter: David is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Sep 2026–Mar 2027). (updated 2026-09-10) Source: Why Inflation is Going To 25%...They're About to Print $20 TRILLION | David Hunter. Price at prediction: 7,708 points. -1.2% since initial prediction.
• Dan Niles: Dan is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-08) Source: Dan Niles Tilts Bearish: How OpenAI Revenue Revision & Treasury Yields Tell Same Story. Price at prediction: 7,766 points. +1.9% since this prediction.
• Dan Niles: Dan is mildly bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Sep–Nov 2026) and bullish over the medium term (Sep 2026–Sep 2027). (updated 2026-09-13) Source: Last wk, oil +9% & ylds +11-26 bps across 2/30 curve w/ S&P/Nas/R2K -0.3%/-0.7%/-2.4%. This wk, I am watching reaction…. Price at prediction: 7,674 points. +0.7% since the flip.
• Stephanie Pomboy: Stephanie is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-07) Source: Stephanie Pomboy: The Higher Yields Go, The Higher The Odds The Market Cracks. Price at prediction: 7,795 points. +2.2% since this prediction.
• Luke Gromen: Luke is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-07) Source: Title of 9/29/26 FFTT: "Sharply higher real rates trigger chaotic US Net International Investment Position unwind." Pla…. Price at prediction: 7,776 points. +2.0% since this prediction.
• Luke Gromen: Luke is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term. (updated 2026-07-23) Source: Iran war resumption; what I got wrong and right to-date. Price at prediction: 7,408 points. -2.9% since this prediction.
• David Hay: David is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-06) Source: This Is Now The Worst Energy Crisis Ever | David Hay. Price at prediction: 7,774 points. +2.0% since this prediction.
• Bob Loukas: Bob is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-05) Source: Interesting market. Stocks deep in their timing for a weekly cycle low, without being reflected in the index. Tech has…. Price at prediction: 7,723 points. -1.3% since this prediction.
• Milton Berg: Milton is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-30) Source: Our Institutional report (excerpts) were posted in Investor Intelligence this morning. https://www.investorsintelligenc…. Price at prediction: 7,716 points. +1.3% since this prediction.
• Milton Berg: Milton is bullish on the S&P 500 over the medium term. (updated 2026-08-16) Source: The Worst Panic in 4 Years Just Happened. Here's Why Milton Berg Is VERY BULLISH on Stocks. Price at prediction: 7,786 points. -2.1% since this prediction.
• Barry Knapp: Barry is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-21) Source: Monday Morning Brief. Price at prediction: 7,320 points. -4.1% since initial prediction.
• David Woo: David is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term. (updated 2026-09-14) Source: Fed To Trigger ‘1987’ Market Crash This Week? | David Woo. Price at prediction: 7,620 points. +0.0% since this prediction.
• David Woo: David is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-04) Source: Fair value Brent $100. Sanction China = higher. Bearish stocks (oil chokes AI). Bullish gold (Bessent put either way).…. Price at prediction: 7,693 points. +1.0% since initial prediction.
• Chris Whalen: Chris is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-08-24) Source: Whalen Global Advisors' Christopher Whalen: It's time for some difficult conversations in DC. Price at prediction: 7,674 points. -0.7% since this prediction.
• Michael Howell: Michael is neutral on the S&P 500 in the short term (through 2026). (updated 2026-08-11) Source: Michael Howell: Liquidity Has Turned, Low Quality Returns Ahead for Stocks, and Real Driver of Gold. Price at prediction: 7,762 points. -1.8% since this prediction.
• Jeff Currie: Jeff is bearish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-07-17) Source: I joined @BloombergTV's @FerroTV and @annmarie to discuss the current energy market and why the abundance illusion is f…. Price at prediction: 7,480 points. -1.9% since this prediction.