Thomas Hayes

Great Hill Capital

Chairman and managing member of Great Hill Capital, the New York long/short equity firm he founded in 2014 and launched in January 2015. He runs concentrated, high-conviction positions on a deep-value-with-a-catalyst discipline, and earlier worked as a research consultant at Cornwall Capital and as a managing director at Bedford Oak Advisors. He publishes the weekly Hedge Fund Tips videocast and podcast.

Unrated

• 38 Predictions
• 0 Right
• 0 Wrong

Current predictions

• Russell 2000: Thomas is bullish on the Russell 2000 in the short term (Nov 2026–Jan 2027) and over the medium term (Oct 2026–Feb 2028). (updated 2026-11-08) Source: Tom Hayes - Business Peer Network - Investment Workshop - 11/5/26. Price at prediction: 2,784 points. +2.3% since initial short-term prediction.
• S&P 500: Thomas is mildly bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Oct 2026–Apr 2027) and bullish over the long term. (updated 2026-11-08) Source: Great Rotation Happening Now: This Sector ‘Is Over’ | Thomas Hayes. Price at prediction: 7,806 points. -2.4% since this short-term prediction.
• S&P 500: Thomas is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-17) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 361 - September 17, 2026. Price at prediction: 7,553 points. +0.9% since this prediction.
• Semiconductors: Thomas is bearish on semiconductors, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-07) Source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Claman’s Power Players - 11/6/2026. Price at prediction: $155.00. -0.3% since initial prediction.
• Semiconductors: Thomas is bearish on semiconductors in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (updated 2026-10-26) Source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Varney & Co - Appearance - 10/26/26. Price at prediction: $182.29. +14.8% since initial prediction.
• US Dollar: Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-04) Source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Big Money Show Appearance - 11/4/26. Price at prediction: $102.07. -0.8% since initial prediction.
• US Dollar: Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar over the medium term (Oct 2026–Oct 2028) and long term. (updated 2026-11-03) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 367 - October 29, 2026. Price at prediction: $99.17. -3.8% since initial medium-term prediction.
• Natural Gas: Thomas is bullish on natural gas, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-04) Source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Big Money Show Appearance - 11/4/26. Price at prediction: $2.90. +11.8% since initial prediction.
• Alibaba: Thomas is bullish on Alibaba, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-03) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026. Price at prediction: $116.31. -12.7% since initial prediction.
• Intermediate Treasuries: Thomas is mildly bullish on Intermediate Treasuries, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-03) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026. Price at prediction: $90.86. +0.1% since initial prediction.
• Intermediate Treasuries: Thomas is bullish on Intermediate Treasuries in the short term (Sep–Dec 2026) and over the medium term (Aug 2026–Feb 2028). (updated 2026-09-17) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 361 - September 17, 2026. Price at prediction: $93.23. -2.5% since initial short-term prediction.
• Silver: Thomas is bearish on silver, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-03) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026. Price at prediction: $49.81. -3.9% since this prediction.
• Intel: Thomas is bearish on Intel, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-29) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 367 - October 29, 2026. Price at prediction: $92.07. +32.1% since initial prediction.
• Micron: Thomas is bearish on Micron, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-15) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 365 - October 15, 2026. Price at prediction: $913.92. +11.2% since this prediction.
• Long-Term Treasuries: Thomas is bullish on Long-Term Treasuries, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-15) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 365 - October 15, 2026. Price at prediction: $78.89. +2.6% since this prediction.
• Long-Term Treasuries: Thomas is bullish on Long-Term Treasuries over the medium term. (updated 2026-08-28) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026. Price at prediction: $83.13. -2.7% since this prediction.
• US Housing: Thomas is bearish on US Housing, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-08-28) Source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026. Price at prediction: 336.66 points. -0.0% since this prediction.

Prediction history

• S&P 500: 2026-11-08 — Thomas is bullish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (source: Tom Hayes - Business Peer Network - Investment Workshop - 11/5/26) Price at prediction: 7,375 points.
• Russell 2000: 2026-11-08 — Thomas is bullish on the Russell 2000 in the short term (Nov 2026–Jan 2027). (source: Tom Hayes - Business Peer Network - Investment Workshop - 11/5/26) Price at prediction: 2,754 points.
• Semiconductors: 2026-11-07 — Thomas is bearish on semiconductors. (source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Claman’s Power Players - 11/6/2026) Price at prediction: $136.37.
• Natural Gas: 2026-11-04 — Thomas is bullish on natural gas. (source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Big Money Show Appearance - 11/4/26) Price at prediction: $2.96.
• US Dollar: 2026-11-04 — Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar. (source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Big Money Show Appearance - 11/4/26) Price at prediction: $101.57.
• Russell 2000: 2026-11-04 — Thomas is bullish on the Russell 2000 in the short term (Nov 2026–Jan 2027). (source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Big Money Show Appearance - 11/4/26) Price at prediction: 2,856 points.
• S&P 500: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bullish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: 7,569 points.
• Semiconductors: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bearish on semiconductors. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: $155.00.
• Russell 2000: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bullish on the Russell 2000 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026). (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: 2,814 points.
• Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is mildly bullish on Intermediate Treasuries. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: $91.17.
• US Dollar: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar over the long term. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: $101.89.
• Silver: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bearish on silver. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: $49.81.
• Natural Gas: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bullish on natural gas. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: $2.90.
• Alibaba: 2026-11-03 — Thomas is bullish on Alibaba. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 368 - November 3, 2026) Price at prediction: $100.34.
• Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-10-29 — Thomas is bullish on Intermediate Treasuries. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 367 - October 29, 2026) Price at prediction: $90.86.
• Alibaba: 2026-10-29 — Thomas is bullish on Alibaba. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 367 - October 29, 2026) Price at prediction: $100.98.
• US Dollar: 2026-10-29 — Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar over the medium term (Oct 2026–Oct 2028). (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 367 - October 29, 2026) Price at prediction: $102.19.
• Intel: 2026-10-29 — Thomas is bearish on Intel. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 367 - October 29, 2026) Price at prediction: $95.52.
• Semiconductors: 2026-10-26 — Thomas is bearish on semiconductors in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (source: Tom Hayes - Fox Business - Varney & Co - Appearance - 10/26/26) Price at prediction: $159.51.
• Russell 2000: 2026-10-21 — Thomas is bullish on the Russell 2000 in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 366 - October 21, 2026) Price at prediction: 2,774 points.
• Alibaba: 2026-10-21 — Thomas is bullish on Alibaba. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 366 - October 21, 2026) Price at prediction: $108.66.
• Intel: 2026-10-21 — Thomas is bearish on Intel. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 366 - October 21, 2026) Price at prediction: $91.61.
• Alibaba: 2026-10-15 — Thomas is bullish on Alibaba. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 365 - October 15, 2026) Price at prediction: $111.19.
• Long-Term Treasuries: 2026-10-15 — Thomas is bullish on Long-Term Treasuries. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 365 - October 15, 2026) Price at prediction: $78.89.
• US Dollar: 2026-10-15 — Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 365 - October 15, 2026) Price at prediction: $102.07.
• Micron: 2026-10-15 — Thomas is bearish on Micron. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 365 - October 15, 2026) Price at prediction: $913.92.
• Russell 2000: 2026-10-14 — Thomas is bullish on the Russell 2000 over the medium term (Oct 2026–Feb 2028). (source: Great Rotation Happening Now: This Sector ‘Is Over’ | Thomas Hayes) Price at prediction: 2,784 points.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-14 — Thomas is mildly bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Oct 2026–Apr 2027). (source: Great Rotation Happening Now: This Sector ‘Is Over’ | Thomas Hayes) Price at prediction: 7,806 points.
• Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-09-17 — Thomas is bullish on Intermediate Treasuries in the short term (Sep–Dec 2026). (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 361 - September 17, 2026) Price at prediction: $90.72.
• S&P 500: 2026-09-17 — Thomas is bullish on the S&P 500. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 361 - September 17, 2026) Price at prediction: 7,553 points.
• Alibaba: 2026-09-17 — Thomas is bullish on Alibaba. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 361 - September 17, 2026) Price at prediction: $107.25.
• Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-08-28 — Thomas is bullish on Intermediate Treasuries over the medium term (Aug 2026–Feb 2028). (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026) Price at prediction: $93.23.
• Alibaba: 2026-08-28 — Thomas is bullish on Alibaba. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026) Price at prediction: $116.31.
• Long-Term Treasuries: 2026-08-28 — Thomas is bullish on Long-Term Treasuries over the medium term. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026) Price at prediction: $83.13.
• US Dollar: 2026-08-28 — Thomas is bearish on the US Dollar over the medium term (Aug 2026–Aug 2028). (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026) Price at prediction: $99.17.
• US Housing: 2026-08-28 — Thomas is bearish on US Housing. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026) Price at prediction: 336.66 points.
• Intel: 2026-08-28 — Thomas is bearish on Intel. (source: Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast - Episode 358 - August 28, 2026) Price at prediction: $92.07.
• Semiconductors: 2026-08-12 — Thomas is mildly bearish on semiconductors in the short term. (source: Fund Manager Called Tech Wipeout, Now Reveals Next Great Rotation | Thomas Hayes) Price at prediction: $182.29.