Ryan Detrick

Carson Group

Ryan Detrick, CMT, is Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, which he joined in 2022 after six years at LPL Financial, where he rose to Senior Vice President and Chief Market Strategist, and a decade at Schaeffer's Investment Research. He is known for data-driven market history and seasonality work behind explicit S&P 500 targets, co-hosts the Facts vs Feelings podcast, and appears regularly across financial media.

Grade A+

11 Predictions
1 Right
0 Wrong

Current predictions

S&P 500: Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026) and over the medium term (Oct 2026–Jan 2028). (updated 2026-11-11) Source: As of Friday, the S&P 500 was up about 8% for the year, which is close to an average year. But remember, only four time…. Price at prediction: 7,646 points. -0.3% since initial short-term prediction.
S&P 500: Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-21) Source: One of the big stories from October (so far) is how breadth has gotten significantly better. S&P 500 A/D line has been…. Price at prediction: 7,684 points. -0.8% since initial prediction.
Bitcoin: Ryan is bullish on Bitcoin, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-17) Source: Bitcoin continues to work off the huge recent rally, right at logical resistance. Nice chart from @FrankCappelleri in h…. Price at prediction: $81,759. -8.8% since initial prediction.
Intermediate Treasuries: Ryan is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-01) Source: At the start of this year, we were in the lonely camp that the Fed likely wouldn't cut, as we saw stickier inflation an…. Price at prediction: $93.33. +2.6% since initial prediction.

Prediction history

S&P 500: 2026-11-11 — Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026). (source: As of Friday, the S&P 500 was up about 8% for the year, which is close to an average year. But remember, only four time…) Price at prediction: 7,589 points.
S&P 500: 2026-11-04 — Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Nov–Dec 2026). (source: We just had one of the largest hedge fund de-grossing events in history, right as the S&P 500 consolidated in one of th…) Price at prediction: 7,688 points.
S&P 500: 2026-10-28 — Ryan is mildly bullish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026) and bullish over the medium term (Oct 2026–Jan 2028). (source: Why Ryan Detrick, CMT Says This Bull Market Isn't Over) Price at prediction: 7,735 points.
S&P 500: 2026-10-21 — Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500. (source: One of the big stories from October (so far) is how breadth has gotten significantly better. S&P 500 A/D line has been…) Price at prediction: 7,712 points.
S&P 500: 2026-09-21 — Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500 in the near term (Sep 2026). (source: Don't short a dull market? They told us all month how bearish September is, yet we haven't seen a single 1% drop and th…) Price at prediction: 7,646 points.
Bitcoin: 2026-09-17 — Ryan is bullish on Bitcoin. (source: Bitcoin continues to work off the huge recent rally, right at logical resistance. Nice chart from @FrankCappelleri in h…) Price at prediction: $76,543.
Bitcoin: 2026-09-03 — Ryan is bullish on Bitcoin. (source: Big day for Bitcoin today and this chart from @FrankCappelleri in his must read AM note showed a bullish potential patt…) Price at prediction: $81,759.
Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-09-01 — Ryan is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries. (source: At the start of this year, we were in the lonely camp that the Fed likely wouldn't cut, as we saw stickier inflation an…) Price at prediction: $92.75.
S&P 500: 2026-09-01 — Ryan is bullish on the S&P 500. (source: At the start of this year, we were in the lonely camp that the Fed likely wouldn't cut, as we saw stickier inflation an…) Price at prediction: 7,684 points.
Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-08-27 — Ryan is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries. (source: Inflation continues to broaden out. @sonusvarghese looked at all 178 components to core PCE and 55% were >0% YoY vs 47%…) Price at prediction: $93.33.