Michael Pento

Pento Portfolio Strategies

Founder and president of Pento Portfolio Strategies. A macro investor who tracks boom and bust cycles across bonds, stocks, and gold, and is known for strong calls on inflation, deflation, and the direction of interest rates.

Unrated

• 38 Predictions
• 0 Right
• 0 Wrong

Current predictions

• Gold Miners: Michael is bullish on gold miners, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-10) Source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?. Price at prediction: $91.42. -6.8% since this prediction.
• S&P 500: Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (2027) and long term. (updated 2026-11-10) Source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?. Price at prediction: 7,698 points. +1.0% since initial medium-term prediction.
• S&P 500: Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-10) Source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?. Price at prediction: 7,663 points. -0.6% since initial prediction.
• Gold: Michael is bullish on gold, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-10) Source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?. Price at prediction: $4,635. -13.9% since initial prediction.
• Gold: Michael is bullish on gold over the medium term (2027). (updated 2026-11-03) Source: 2027 Could Be a Disaster for Stocks — Why I’m Preparing to Go Net Short | Michael Pento. Price at prediction: $3,955. +1.0% since this prediction.
• Short-Term Treasuries: Michael is bullish on Short-Term Treasuries, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-23) Source: 2027 CRASH: Timeline For Economic Disaster | Michael Pento. Price at prediction: $81.04. +0.3% since initial prediction.
• US Housing: Michael is bearish on US Housing over the medium term (2027). (updated 2026-10-20) Source: Michael Pento: Stocks Could Crash 50% - Here's What I'm Buying Instead. Price at prediction: 336.74 points. +0.0% since initial prediction.
• US Housing: Michael is bearish on US Housing, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-06) Source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview. Price at prediction: 335.1 points. -0.5% since initial prediction.
• Intermediate Treasuries: Michael is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries over the medium term (2027) and long term. (updated 2026-10-20) Source: ALERT: 2027 Will Be A "Disaster" For Both Stocks & Bonds | Michael Pento. Price at prediction: $89.06. -2.1% since this medium-term prediction.
• Long-Term Treasuries: Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-20) Source: Michael Pento: Stocks Could Crash 50% - Here's What I'm Buying Instead. Price at prediction: $82.35. +1.7% since initial prediction.
• Long-Term Treasuries: Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (updated 2026-09-06) Source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview. Price at prediction: $82.21. +1.6% since this prediction.
• Bitcoin: Michael is bearish on Bitcoin, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-06) Source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview. Price at prediction: $79,538. +6.2% since this prediction.

Prediction history

• S&P 500: 2026-11-10 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?) Price at prediction: 7,549 points.
• Gold Miners: 2026-11-10 — Michael is bullish on gold miners. (source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?) Price at prediction: $91.42.
• Gold: 2026-11-10 — Michael is bullish on gold. (source: The Next Recession Could Trigger Double-Digit Inflation – A Dangerous New Crisis!Are You Prepared?) Price at prediction: $4,125.
• S&P 500: 2026-11-03 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: 2027 Could Be a Disaster for Stocks — Why I’m Preparing to Go Net Short | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 7,542 points.
• Gold: 2026-11-03 — Michael is bullish on gold over the medium term (2027). (source: 2027 Could Be a Disaster for Stocks — Why I’m Preparing to Go Net Short | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: $3,955.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-30 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: Interview with Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 7,609 points.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-23 — Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 and neutral. (source: 2027 CRASH: Timeline For Economic Disaster | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 7,663 points.
• Short-Term Treasuries: 2026-10-23 — Michael is bullish on Short-Term Treasuries. (source: 2027 CRASH: Timeline For Economic Disaster | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: $81.51.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-20 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: Michael Pento: Stocks Could Crash 50% - Here's What I'm Buying Instead) Price at prediction: 7,719 points.
• US Housing: 2026-10-20 — Michael is bearish on US Housing over the medium term (2027). (source: Michael Pento: Stocks Could Crash 50% - Here's What I'm Buying Instead) Price at prediction: 336.74 points.
• Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-10-20 — Michael is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries over the long term. (source: Michael Pento: Stocks Could Crash 50% - Here's What I'm Buying Instead) Price at prediction: $90.31.
• Long-Term Treasuries: 2026-10-20 — Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries. (source: Michael Pento: Stocks Could Crash 50% - Here's What I'm Buying Instead) Price at prediction: $80.08.
• US Housing: 2026-10-14 — Michael is bearish on US Housing over the medium term (2027). (source: Michael Pento: 2027 Will be a Year of Reckoning for the U.S. Economy and Markets) Price at prediction: 336.74 points.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-14 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: Michael Pento: 2027 Will be a Year of Reckoning for the U.S. Economy and Markets) Price at prediction: 7,707 points.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-05 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: Debt Crisis, Then Recession, Then the Crash | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 7,765 points.
• Short-Term Treasuries: 2026-10-05 — Michael is bullish on Short-Term Treasuries. (source: Debt Crisis, Then Recession, Then the Crash | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: $81.04.
• S&P 500: 2026-10-04 — Michael is neutral on the S&P 500, though bearish over the medium term (2027). (source: ALERT: 2027 Will Be A "Disaster" For Both Stocks & Bonds | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 7,723 points.
• Intermediate Treasuries: 2026-10-04 — Michael is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries over the medium term (2027). (source: ALERT: 2027 Will Be A "Disaster" For Both Stocks & Bonds | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: $89.06.
• US Housing: 2026-09-27 — Michael is bearish on US Housing over the medium term (2027). (source: Michael Pento: 2027 Will Be a Very Difficult Year - Heres Why) Price at prediction: 336.74 points.
• S&P 500: 2026-09-27 — Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (2027). (source: Michael Pento: 2027 Will Be a Very Difficult Year - Heres Why) Price at prediction: 7,742 points.
• Long-Term Treasuries: 2026-09-27 — Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries. (source: Michael Pento: 2027 Will Be a Very Difficult Year - Heres Why) Price at prediction: $79.33.
• S&P 500: 2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview) Price at prediction: 7,719 points.
• US Housing: 2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on US Housing. (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview) Price at prediction: 336.66 points.
• Long-Term Treasuries: 2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview) Price at prediction: $82.21.
• Bitcoin: 2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on Bitcoin. (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview) Price at prediction: $79,538.
• US Housing: 2026-08-21 — Michael is bearish on US Housing. (source: Are World's Elites About To DUMP Everything? | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 336.66 points.
• Long-Term Treasuries: 2026-08-21 — Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries. (source: Are World's Elites About To DUMP Everything? | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: $82.35.
• Gold: 2026-08-21 — Michael is bullish on gold. (source: Are World's Elites About To DUMP Everything? | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: $4,635.
• S&P 500: 2026-08-04 — Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (source: Real Estate To Drop 30%, Stocks TO Fall 50%? | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 7,698 points.
• US Housing: 2026-08-04 — Michael is bearish on US Housing. (source: Real Estate To Drop 30%, Stocks TO Fall 50%? | Michael Pento) Price at prediction: 335.1 points.