Founder and president of Pento Portfolio Strategies. A macro investor who tracks boom and bust cycles across bonds, stocks, and gold, and is known for strong calls on inflation, deflation, and the direction of interest rates.
Current predictions
Bitcoin: Michael is bearish on Bitcoin. (updated 2026-09-06)
US Housing: Michael is bearish on US Housing. (updated 2026-09-06)
S&P 500: Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027) and long term. (updated 2026-09-06)
Long-Term Treasuries: Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (updated 2026-09-06)
Long-Term Treasuries: Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries. (updated 2026-08-21)
Gold: Michael is bullish on gold. (updated 2026-08-21)
Prediction history
2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview)
2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on US Housing. (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview)
2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview)
2026-09-06 — Michael is bearish on Bitcoin. (source: Brutal Market Crash First, Then Gold Surge, Then Stagflation | Michael Pento Interview)
2026-08-21 — Michael is bearish on US Housing. (source: Are World's Elites About To DUMP Everything? | Michael Pento)
2026-08-21 — Michael is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries. (source: Are World's Elites About To DUMP Everything? | Michael Pento)
2026-08-21 — Michael is bullish on gold. (source: Are World's Elites About To DUMP Everything? | Michael Pento)
2026-08-04 — Michael is bearish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (source: Real Estate To Drop 30%, Stocks TO Fall 50%? | Michael Pento)
2026-08-04 — Michael is bearish on US Housing. (source: Real Estate To Drop 30%, Stocks TO Fall 50%? | Michael Pento)