Bob Loukas Bitcoin Live
Position trader of more than 25 years best known for the Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle framework and a public model portfolio that trades it.
Grade F
18 Predictions 0 Right 2 Wrong Current predictions Bitcoin : Bob is bearish on Bitcoin in the short term (Nov 2026–Jan 2027) and bullish over the long term. (updated 2026-11-09) Source: Week 14 or 20 Bitcoin, clearly showing a Cycle Top. Declining part of cycle taken control. Points to more likely weakne… . Price at prediction: $74,687. +0.1% since this short-term prediction.Gold : Bob is bearish on gold, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-11-07) Source: Gold update. A green weekly candle likely just a normal counter-trend bounce within a weekly cycle decline. Stick to cl… . Price at prediction: $4,075. +2.0% since this prediction.Gold : Bob is bearish on gold in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (updated 2026-10-29) Source: Same theme for gold, in the grasp of an intermediate timeframe cycle decline. Gold is still 9 weeks away from a typical… . Price at prediction: $4,148. +3.7% since initial prediction.SpaceX : Bob is bullish on SpaceX over the long term. (updated 2026-11-04) Source: Think SpaceX is a long term hold, but also don't see how you can be that bullish on it here at $2T valuation. Feels ful… . Price at prediction: $135.30. +3.3% since this prediction.S&P 500 : Bob is bullish on the S&P 500, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-05) Source: Interesting market. Stocks deep in their timing for a weekly cycle low, without being reflected in the index. Tech has… . Price at prediction: 7,723 points. -1.3% since this prediction.Silver : Bob is bearish on silver, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-10-04) Source: To my long time silver friends, why Silver is more likely heading to $46 before turning bullish again. Silver blow-off… . Price at prediction: $60.42. +14.4% since this prediction.Nvidia : Bob is bullish on Nvidia, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-29) Source: I know there are plenty of high flying AI names to punt on, but $NVDA feels on the cusp of yet another expansive move.… . Price at prediction: $229.93. -24.4% since this prediction.US Dollar : Bob is bullish on the US Dollar, with no stated time horizon. (updated 2026-09-28) Source: Also not helping is the bullish outlook on the dollar, looking at only week 3, with the past two cycle highs/lows above… . Price at prediction: $101.22. +1.7% since this prediction.Prediction history Bitcoin : 2026-11-09 — Bob is bearish on Bitcoin in the short term (Nov 2026–Jan 2027). (source: Week 14 or 20 Bitcoin, clearly showing a Cycle Top. Declining part of cycle taken control. Points to more likely weakne… ) Price at prediction: $74,687.Gold : 2026-11-07 — Bob is bearish on gold. (source: Gold update. A green weekly candle likely just a normal counter-trend bounce within a weekly cycle decline. Stick to cl… ) Price at prediction: $4,075.SpaceX : 2026-11-04 — Bob is bullish on SpaceX over the long term. (source: Think SpaceX is a long term hold, but also don't see how you can be that bullish on it here at $2T valuation. Feels ful… ) Price at prediction: $135.30.Gold : 2026-10-30 — Bob is bullish on gold. (source: End of December Gold will be a screaming buy again. A 1-year correction/reset, and the midpoint of the 8 yr cycle. Stil… ) Price at prediction: $3,906.Gold : 2026-10-29 — Bob is bearish on gold in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (source: Same theme for gold, in the grasp of an intermediate timeframe cycle decline. Gold is still 9 weeks away from a typical… ) Price at prediction: $4,035.Bitcoin : 2026-10-21 — Bob is bullish on Bitcoin in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (source: Currently long bitcoin - short gold futures. Both Cycle positions align well into Dec. The rest is out of my control. ) Price at prediction: $84,494.Gold : 2026-10-21 — Bob is bearish on gold in the short term (Oct–Dec 2026). (source: Currently long bitcoin - short gold futures. Both Cycle positions align well into Dec. The rest is out of my control. ) Price at prediction: $4,149.S&P 500 : 2026-10-05 — Bob is bullish on the S&P 500. (source: Interesting market. Stocks deep in their timing for a weekly cycle low, without being reflected in the index. Tech has… ) Price at prediction: 7,723 points.Silver : 2026-10-04 — Bob is bearish on silver. (source: To my long time silver friends, why Silver is more likely heading to $46 before turning bullish again. Silver blow-off… ) Price at prediction: $60.42.Nvidia : 2026-09-29 — Bob is bullish on Nvidia. (source: I know there are plenty of high flying AI names to punt on, but $NVDA feels on the cusp of yet another expansive move.… ) Price at prediction: $229.93.US Dollar : 2026-09-28 — Bob is bullish on the US Dollar. (source: Also not helping is the bullish outlook on the dollar, looking at only week 3, with the past two cycle highs/lows above… ) Price at prediction: $101.22.Gold : 2026-09-28 — Bob is bearish on gold in the short term (Sep–Dec 2026). (source: Decisive breakdown on the gold cycle chart highly suggestive that the Week 6 high is the top, and deeper lows to come b… ) Price at prediction: $4,151.Bitcoin : 2026-09-21 — Bob is bullish on Bitcoin over the long term. (source: Really solid Bitcoin push here to break the intermediate trend and resume the secular bull trend. As is common in any n… ) Price at prediction: $85,319.Bitcoin : 2026-09-05 — Bob is bullish on Bitcoin. (source: Signs of a New Market ) Price at prediction: $79,723.Gold : 2026-06-23 — Bob is bullish on gold and bearish in the short term (Sep 2026). (source: Gold Cycles are generally the cleanest out there. And I believe Sept will offer up another amazing opportunity to load… ) Price at prediction: $4,148.Bitcoin : 2026-06-04 — Bob is bearish on Bitcoin in the short term (through Oct 2026) and bullish over the long term. (source: ThE fOur YeAr cyCle iS dEAd ) Price at prediction: $63,481.