Darius Dale is the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, an online macro research company delivering data-driven macro risk management through the dual lenses of asset allocation and portfolio construction.
Current predictions
Bitcoin: Darius is bullish on Bitcoin over the medium term (Sep 2026–Mar 2028) and long term. (updated 2026-09-08)
Intermediate Treasuries: Darius is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries in the short term and over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (updated 2026-09-08)
S&P 500: Darius is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term, bullish over the medium term (Sep 2026–Mar 2028), and bearish over the long term. (updated 2026-09-08)
S&P 500: Darius is bullish on the S&P 500. (updated 2026-09-03)
Gold: Darius is bullish on gold over the medium term (Sep 2026–Mar 2028) and long term. (updated 2026-09-08)
Diesel: Darius is bullish on diesel. (updated 2026-09-02)
Long-Term Treasuries: Darius is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries in the short term. (updated 2026-08-12)
Prediction history
2026-09-08 — Darius is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries over the medium term (Sep 2026–Dec 2027). (source: Has the Bond Market Taken Control From Central Banks?)
2026-09-08 — Darius is bullish on gold over the medium term (Sep 2026–Mar 2028). (source: Has the Bond Market Taken Control From Central Banks?)
2026-09-08 — Darius is bullish on Bitcoin over the medium term (Sep 2026–Mar 2028). (source: Has the Bond Market Taken Control From Central Banks?)
2026-09-08 — Darius is bullish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (Sep 2026–Mar 2028). (source: Has the Bond Market Taken Control From Central Banks?)
2026-09-03 — Darius is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries. (source: The Macro Minute: Will faster BOJ rate hikes trigger a correction in global stocks?)
2026-09-03 — Darius is bullish on the S&P 500. (source: The Macro Minute: Will faster BOJ rate hikes trigger a correction in global stocks?)
2026-09-03 — Darius is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries. (source: Are Stocks, Gold, and Bitcoin About to Bubble Again?)
2026-09-03 — Darius is bullish on the S&P 500 over the medium term (through Q4 2027). (source: Are Stocks, Gold, and Bitcoin About to Bubble Again?)
2026-09-02 — Darius is bullish on diesel. (source: The Macro Minute: Can the current risk-on Market Regime condition survive 1-2 rate hikes?)
2026-09-01 — Darius is bearish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (source: The Macro Minute: Will Paradigm C, a.k.a. “Run It Hot” break the global bond market?)
2026-08-26 — Darius is bullish on the S&P 500. (source: The Macro Minute: Is our stock market bubble thesis intact?)
2026-08-19 — Darius is bullish on gold over the long term. (source: The Macro Minute: Will Republicans be forced to "tax the rich"?)
2026-08-19 — Darius is bullish on Bitcoin over the long term. (source: The Macro Minute: Will Republicans be forced to "tax the rich"?)
2026-08-14 — Darius is bearish on the S&P 500 over the long term. (source: Only Marks, Patsies, and the Foolhardy Are Swimming Naked Henceforth | August 13, 2026)
2026-08-12 — Darius is bearish on Intermediate Treasuries in the short term. (source: The Growth Strategy Trapping The Fed | Darius Dale)
2026-08-12 — Darius is bearish on Long-Term Treasuries in the short term. (source: The Growth Strategy Trapping The Fed | Darius Dale)
2026-08-06 — Darius is bullish on the S&P 500 over the medium term. (source: Is Treasury Policy Buying the Fed More Time?)
2026-07-28 — Darius is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term. (source: The Macro Minute: Does AI have a circular financing problem?)
2026-07-06 — Darius is bearish on the S&P 500 in the short term (Q3–Q4 2026) and bullish over the medium term (Q4 2026–Q4 2027). (source: How Much Runway Does This Bull Market Have Left?)